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Explicit Bayesian Analysis for Process Tracing: Guidelines ...
https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/political-analysis/article/explicit-bayesian-analysis-for-process-tracing-guidelines-opportunities-and-caveats/F93D3EA784730ED731AC910EEF306231#:~:text=A%20growing%20movement%20within%20political%20science%20has%20identified,assessing%20alternative%20explanations%20in%20light%20of%20evidence%20uncovered.
Process Tracing: a Bayesian Perspective - Oxford …
https://www.oxfordhandbooks.com/view/10.1093/oxfordhb/9780199286546.001.0001/oxfordhb-9780199286546-e-30
Abstract and Keywords. This article provides an overview of process tracing, concentrating on the dimensions of this method that are relevant to Bayesian logic. It also briefly outlines the logic of Bayesian inference, emphasizing parallels with the logic of process tracing. The article shows these points with examples from the historical explanation of political events, including the …
Explicit Bayesian Analysis for Process Tracing: …
https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/political-analysis/article/explicit-bayesian-analysis-for-process-tracing-guidelines-opportunities-and-caveats/F93D3EA784730ED731AC910EEF306231
3 Operationalizing Bayesian Analysis 3.1 Hypotheses and priors. The first step in explicit Bayesian process tracing entails specifying the set of hypotheses... 3.2 Evidence. We take a broad, common-sense view of what constitutes evidence in process tracing—any relevant... 3.3 Likelihoods and ...
Process tracing with Better Evidence Bayesian …
https://pubs.iied.org/sites/default/files/pdfs/migrate/17402IIED.pdf
Process tracing with Bayesian updating is particularly useful for investigating how and why a particular change or impact has come about. We can use it to gain insight into causal mechanisms (to find out how change has happened), to evaluate prior hypotheses (to find out
Process Tracing: A Bayesian Perspective | Request PDF
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/257268044_Process_Tracing_A_Bayesian_Perspective
Process tracing is a type of social science approach that historically links an outcome with the key events or processes that have produced it and searches for the observable implications of...
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